La Nina Announced just as Hurricane Peak Season Begins

Yesterday, August 5, 2010, the NOAA announced that La Nina is officially in action over the Pacific Ocean. In addition, the NOAA stated that they are still expecting an active hurricane season!

In two of our recent posts, "What's all this talk about La Nina?" and "Busy Hurricane Season? Let us not forget the past!", we discussed how experts were warning of La Nina conditions forming and how that might increase hurricane activity over the Atlantic. We also looked back at the past patterns of serious hurricanes and how many of them formed during "peak" season - late August.

In the NOAA's article, they state "With the season’s peak just around the corner – late August through October – the need for preparedness plans is essential."

In addition, the NOAA states, "“All indications are for considerable activity during the next several months,” said Gerry Bell, Ph.D., lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. “As we’ve seen in past years, storms can come on quickly during the peak months of the season. There remains a high likelihood that the season could be very active, with the potential of being one of the more active on record.”

The NOAA predicts that climate factors such as warmer-than-average water in the tropical Atlantic and Caribbean, and the tropical multi-decadal signal, which since 1995 has brought favorable ocean and atmospheric conditions in unison, lead to more active seasons.

We encourage everyone to stay prepared in the event that the predictions come to fruition. We might have a tendency to figure, just because the season is slow right now, that we have nothing to worry about. Nonetheless, it is always wise to stay prepared.

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